As the Premier League action heats up, football betting expert Lewis Jones shares his insightful predictions and best bets for the weekend's matches. Jones, known for his sharp analysis, has his eyes on several intriguing fixtures that could lead to surprising outcomes.
Leeds vs Tottenham: Spurs' Set-Piece Threat
Tottenham is set to pose a significant threat to Leeds with their improved set-piece strategy under Thomas Frank. Since Frank took charge, Spurs have become a formidable force from dead balls, a tactic that could exploit Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities. Leeds have conceded 1.7 shots per game from set-pieces and have already allowed four goals via this method this season. Micky van de Ven, at 33/1 with Sky Bet to score first, is a key player to watch.
Prediction: Leeds 2-2 Tottenham
Arsenal vs West Ham: Eberechi Eze to Shine
Eberechi Eze's unpredictability is expected to be a valuable asset for Arsenal against West Ham. With the technical security around him, Eze is likely to get more touches in dangerous areas, leading to an increase in his shots on target. He's recorded two shots on target in both of his last two starts, making the 6/4 odds on him clearing that line again with Sky Bet a valuable bet.
Prediction: Arsenal 2-0 West Ham
Manchester United vs Sunderland: Sunderland to Cause an Upset
Despite Manchester United's healthy expected goals data (12.21), Jones is backing Sunderland to avoid defeat. United's xG figures are misleading due to their tendency to chase games after falling behind, a result of their poor defensive process. Sunderland to avoid defeat on the double chance at 13/8 with Sky Bet is Jones' recommended bet.
Prediction: Manchester United 1-2 Sunderland
Chelsea vs Liverpool: A Low-Scoring Encounter
The markets favor over 2.5 goals at 1/2 with Sky Bet, but Jones suggests that under 2.5 goals at around 6/4 is a more savvy bet. Arne Slot's pragmatic approach and Chelsea's predictability without Cole Palmer could lead to a tight, low-scoring match.
Prediction: Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool
Aston Villa vs Burnley: Florentino to Commit Fouls
Burnley's new signing, Florentino, is shaping up as a great bet in the fouls committed markets. Adapting to the Premier League's physical demands, Florentino's dynamic style could lead to an increase in fouls committed, making him a valuable bet in this often-overlooked market.
With these predictions and best bets, Jones is confident that the weekend will bring exciting and unexpected moments in the Premier League.
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