As the Premier League resumes this weekend, attention turns to Everton's clash with Newcastle United - a matchup that could extend the Magpies' dismal away form. Football betting expert Lewis Jones analyzes Saturday's key fixtures and identifies value opportunities for punters.
Brentford vs Burnley: Home Comforts to Prevail
Brentford's impressive home record against top opposition makes them strong favorites against Burnley. "The Bees have collected 13 points from 18 available at home despite facing a brutal schedule," notes Jones, highlighting Keith Andrews' tactical consistency. With Burnley conceding heavily on their travels (over 2.5 goals in all away games), a 3-1 home win at 5/4 offers solid value.
Manchester City vs Leeds: Midfield Maestro to Draw Fouls
Pep Guardiola's squad faces Leeds with rising star Rayan Cherki emerging as an intriguing betting proposition. The French midfielder has drawn 2+ fouls in three of four starts (7/4 with Sky Bet) as opponents struggle to contain his creative spark in central areas.
Sunderland vs Bournemouth: Goal Glut Expected
Bournemouth's road games have become a goalscorer's paradise, with 18 of their last 20 away matches exceeding 2.5 goals. "This isn't variance - it's Andoni Iraola's tactical identity," Jones emphasizes, recommending the 10/11 over 2.5 goals line as the weekend's standout wager.
Everton vs Newcastle: Travel Sickness Continues
Newcastle's away struggles form the weekend's central narrative. Winless in eight Premier League road trips, Eddie Howe's side appear vulnerable against an Everton team growing in confidence at Goodison Park. "The 7/4 on a home win underestimates Everton's threat against fatigued opponents," Jones argues, predicting a 2-1 upset.
Tottenham vs Fulham: Shot Market Value
With Cristian Romero suspended, Fulham's 10/11 price to register 13+ shots appears generous. Spurs have consistently allowed double-digit attempts this season, particularly without their defensive linchpin. "This structural weakness could see Fulham spring a surprise," Jones suggests, forecasting a 1-2 away victory.
As the weekend unfolds, these tactical battles and statistical trends promise to shape both the Premier League table and betting outcomes. All featured matches will be broadcast live on Sky Sports platforms.
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