Football analyst Lewis Jones has identified potential surprises in this weekend's Premier League action, with Sunderland's 9/1 odds to defeat Manchester City headlining the value bets. The Black Cats (+2 handicap at 11/10) could capitalise on City's congested schedule ahead of their Champions League clash with Real Madrid.

Key Match Predictions:

Aston Villa vs Arsenal (Saturday 12:30pm)

Arsenal's defensive vulnerabilities without Gabriel could prove costly against Villa's set-piece prowess. Jones predicts a 1-1 draw, with Villa's Ezri Konsa and Pau Torres both at 40/1 to open the scoring.

Bournemouth vs Chelsea (Saturday 3pm)

Despite Bournemouth's recent struggles, Jones expects Chelsea (11/10) to exploit their defensive frailties in a predicted 1-3 away win.

Everton vs Nottingham Forest (Saturday 3pm)

A low-scoring affair is anticipated between these defensively-minded sides. The 2/1 odds for under 1.5 goals reflects their historical tendency for tight matches.

Newcastle vs Burnley (Saturday 3pm)

Anthony Gordon's threat against Burnley's Kyle Walker (7/4 to commit 2+ fouls) features in Jones' best bets, alongside a predicted 3-0 home victory.

Tottenham vs Brentford (Saturday 3pm)

The set-piece battle takes center stage as Thomas Frank faces his former club, with Brentford looking to exploit Spurs' defensive reorganization.

Jones concludes: "This weekend's Premier League slate presents unusual value opportunities, particularly with heavyweight clubs potentially vulnerable after midweek exertions. Sunderland's price against City stands out as the most intriguing prospect."